October 13, 2008 - 4:59pm
News

Internal poll: Kratovil up by 2%

A new internal poll shows Democratic Congressional candidate Frank Kratovil leading his opponent by 2 points.

The poll, paid for by the Kratovil campaign and conducted by GarinHartYang Research Group, shows state's Attorney Kratovil (D-Stevensville) with a 43 percent to 41 percent lead over state Sen. Andy Harris (R-Cockeysville). Sixteen percent of those surveyed were undecided.

"Frank's campaign has come a long way, and what this poll shows is that all of the momentum is on his side as we come down the home stretch," Kevin Lawlor, Kratovil's press secretary said in a statement.

Harris's campaign manager, Chris Meekins, says without full disclosure of the questions the poll means nothing.

"This is another partisan poll," Meekins told PolitickerMD.com. "The Kratovil campaign is running on desperation."

Last month the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee paid for a poll showing Kratovil and Harris in a dead heat. Over the summer, a poll paid for by the Harris campaign showed Kratovil behind by 16 points. PolitickerMD.com has not confirmed the release of any recent independent polling of the 1st Congressional District race, which includes 12 of the 23 counties in the state.

The Kratovil-Harris race is ranked the 52nd most competitive U.S. House race in the nation on Politicker.com's Pindell ReportPoliticker.com's Managing Editor James Pindell lists the race as "Leans Republican."

The poll, conducted on Oct. 7 and 8, surveyed 401 likely voters with a margin of error plus or minus 5 percent.

DANNY REITER is a PolitickerMD.com Reporter and can be reached via email at Daniel.reiter@politicker.com.

Comments

Evidence for you


Evidence,

Clearly you are not reading the same FEC report as me. I found mine on www.fec.gov not www.harrisforcongress. Andy Harris paid from his own pocket for phone bankers. It is recorded as an expense paid to Andy. Read it and weep. Evidence.

I do admit Kratovil took 1,000.00 from Constellation energy. I would now like you to acknowledge it is a heck of a lot less than the 6,000.00 they gave Andy Harris. By my math - 5 grand more. Hmm… if someone presents Kratovil with a 1000.00 check and Harris with 6000.00, who are they trying to influence more???

You got one fact correct. Club for Growth has given Andy over Half a Million Dollars, however, This Quarter Only, they funneled 70 large into the Harris camp. Of that 70, less than 2 is from Marylanders. The other 68K came from California, texas, north Carolina, all over the US. Read each line - look at the address of the person on the line next to “Earmarked thru Club for Growth.” Not that hard. Furthermore, not one single group has given even close to that to Kratovil, not all the pacs combined have given that much to Kratovil. Who is bought and paid for by special interests? Sounds like Andy wins that one hands down.

If what you say is true 1000.00 is half of your monthly net, you should consider some of the Club for Growth’s messages. Your monthly net means you will one day be a senior living on social security. They will consider you the next generation of welfare. Does that make you curious as to Andy’s beliefs since he is so beholden to them? It certainly resonates with me, because I am “working class people” myself. I belief in Frank and his values. I like the way Frank has cleaned up Queen Annes County. I appreciate his service to the Community, through coaching little league, to teaching Character Counts in the classrooms, to plunging into the icy waters of the Bay 24 times in 24 hours to personally raise over 10grand for Md. Special Olympics this year alone. But don’t get me wrong, he didn’t do it for political reasons this year. He has done these things consistently over the past 10 years. I don’t know where Andy’s values are. His voting record as a Senator is so out of line with his campaign site, I am not sure who Andy is.

Also consider this. Andy voted to deregulate electricity in the State of Maryland. Do you recall paying for electricity 10 years ago? My bill has darn near tripled since then, but my income sure hasn’t. This is Andy, Club for Growth, deregulation in its purest form. Get real. Andy 6000.00 Constellation Energy, Frank 1000.00 Constellation Energy. Who needs your vote more?

10/17/08 8:33 am

I should have known you


I should have known you never would have come clean. Show me on the report where it says Harris paid for canvassing. You have to report that if you pay for it.

And by the way, $1,000 is a heck of a lot of money to me. I know you Obama/Kratovil folks think we're all "rich". But this half of my monthly net income. I could never contribute that much. It also seems a bit hypocritical for Mr. Kratovil to go after Harris for being in bed with "big energy" when he accepts money from them too.

Harris accepted only $2000 from Marylanders? Try again. I counted $480,000 of his $560,000 total. Meanwhile, Mr. Kratovil accepted over $120,000 from DC PACs. Pathetic.

10/17/08 6:56 am

Andy’s recycled TV ads,


Andy’s recycled TV ads, not telling us about polls, making personal contributions to his campaign to inflate the appearance of how much money he has raised, running TV ads that state untrue quotes....

Andy's campaign is either arrogant or thinks we are ignorant. My guess is both.

10/16/08 12:07 pm

Evidence


Yes, I will point to evidence of my claims and counter yours.

Andy paid phone bankers (same as canvassers) out of his own pocket in July. Read it for yourself on the FEC report. Frank did not pay for anyone, he has volunteers to help him.
Andy paid for polling on 8/25/08. Where are those results Andy?!?

Yes, you are correct, Kratovil took money from constellation energy, a whooping 1,000.00. They ponied up to play both sides of the fence, they gave Andy 6,000.00. Who is deeper in the pocket? Also let’s look at the other big money Andy took, Chevron, 5000.00, Chemical Co. PAC 6,000.00, Propane PAC, split the rail, gave 1k to each candidate, Exxon 5000.00, Geico 2000, marathon oil, 1,000. The list goes on, but the scariest of all, This quarter alone Club for Growth funneled 70,000.00 dollars into Andy’s campaign. Less than 2,000.00 of this money was actually from citizens of the State of Maryland. Now who’s pocket is Andy in? Certainly not the people of the first district.

10/16/08 9:38 am

Austin - care to point out


Austin - care to point out evidence to your claims? Where is he paying canvassers?

The only thing I see on the FEC report is Kratovil taking money from "Big Energy". Constellation AND their lobbyist donated to Kratovil this quarter. So much for being for the environment?

10/16/08 5:25 am

Harris did a poll it was


Harris did a poll it was paid on 08/25/2008 to Arthur J Finkelstein & Associates, Inc.

We just want to know what it said Meekins, don't be a lightweight anymore. Everyone knows you miss your mom but buck up son and face the facts. You are a scumbag.

10/16/08 12:10 am

No paid canvassers and Harris' poll


I read the fec reports filed by both candidates. Harris paid for canvassers, not Kratovil. Kratovils' grassroots organization has the volunteer power. Additionally, Harris had another poll and he wont release it because it says the same thing as DCCC poll and the Kratovil poll - Kratovil will win this race. Andy knows it and even he admits it will be close. Doesnt sound as cocky as he did last February, the First District will elect a republican 7 days a week comment. Close dont count Andy = you lose!

10/15/08 7:31 pm

No paid canvassers and Harris' poll


I read the fec reports filed by both candidates. Harris paid for canvassers, not Kratovil. Kratovils' grassroots organization has the volunteer power. Additionally, Harris had another poll and he wont release it because it says the same thing as DCCC poll and the Kratovil poll - Kratovil will win this race. Andy knows it and even he admits it will be close. Doesnt sound as cocky as he did last February, the First District will elect a republican 7 days a week comment. Close dont count Andy = you lose!

10/15/08 7:31 pm

Harris Poll In Late August Not Released


As I have been saying for the past few weeks and as I posted earlier today on another thread, Harris paid $6000 for a poll on august 25th.

This poll jived with the results of the DCCC poll, which showed a tied race. Needless to say, Meekins derided the DCCC poll, call it "partisan," but would not release the results of their own poll which showed a dead heat.

Why?

So as not to scare away the Club for Growth and others foolish enough to make a contribution to the cesspool that is the Harris campaign.

I don't know who is more done...Andy or Chrissie. One of them needs a fork, though.

10/15/08 10:53 am

Harris Poll In Late August Not Released


As I have been saying for the past few weeks and as I posted earlier today on another thread, Harris paid $6000 for a poll on august 25th.

This poll jived with the results of the DCCC poll, which showed a tied race. Needless to say, Meekins derided the DCCC poll, call it "partisan," but would not release the results of their own poll which showed a dead heat.

Why?

So as not to scare away the Club for Growth and others foolish enough to make a contribution to the cesspool that is the Harris campaign.

I don't know who is more done...Andy or Chrissie. One of them needs a fork, though.

10/15/08 10:52 am

You can just see the latest


You can just see the latest actions from the Harris camp to see they're running scared. Heck, as reported by the Easton Star Democrat on Oct. 12, 2008, Harris conceded this race may hinge on absentee ballots. Look at the recent desperation of Harris people, especially his favorite bloggers. One blogger even says he'll no longer allow comments from democrats.

10/14/08 7:34 pm

I guess Andy's comments


I guess Andy's comments today prove that Kratovil's poll is more right than Chrissy wants anybody believe.

10/14/08 4:06 pm

Kratovil


I am supporting Frank Kratovil because his political positions are closer to mine and on that basis I would urge others to be open-minded and look at the candidates positions before you decide on whom to support.

A political race is not the good vs. evin battle that we often hear as the argument used by those on the opposite side as they attempt to score points for their candidate. Shame on the candidate who feeds that approach.

Anyone who is willing to volunteer for political office and thereby dedicate their time and effort in the pursuit of creating a better world should be commended and deserves to be treated with respect. And this would also apply to both Kratovil and Harris, both well meaning dedicated citizens who differ on policy.

Seems to me that what kept Gilchrest in the seat all these years was less his Republican lable and more the fact that he was a likable guy who enjoyed the support of the Democrats on the Eastern Shore. Now that we have an open race it would stand to reason that the Dems who were supporting Gilchrest will simply go the party line and vote for Kratovil. While the district is conservative it is not "right wing" and that also would favor Kratovil.

Additionally, Kratovil is a lot more likable and less a doctrinarian than Harris.

Whoever wins will be called on to provide leadership on the two top issues that effect the district: a) bring to bear a solution for cleaning up the Bay that is achievable within our lifetime, b) upgrading the aging infrastructure that is the link between the shore and the rest of Maryland, and off-course obtaining commitment for the funding necessary to accomplish it.

In the meantime, I would urge both to keep the race on the issues and make all of us proud of them!

And good luck to all of us!

10/14/08 2:27 pm

Obviously, you have no clue


Obviously, you have no clue how campaigns work. You never want a paid canvasser. They don't have the drive or spirit of volunteers. I guess we'll find out how Harford turns out to compare...

10/14/08 1:36 pm

Anonymous poll


Anonymous poll watcher...

O'Malley won by 6 percentage points on election day in 2006 - 52-46. So maybe Garin Hart hit it spot on and the other polls showing a 1 pt. differential had it wrong. You think?

10/14/08 1:30 pm

Garin Hart also gad O'Malley


Garin Hart also gad O'Malley up by 6 in same week that Baltimore Sun, Rasmussen and Mason all showed tie or 1pt in 2006. They're always off by 3-5 pts because they oversample. Shoot even Gonzalez admits that in private.

Is the race close though? Sure. Who knows why though. Frank Kratovil is Martin O'Malley's mini-me and he really is pretty left-wing. Of course he'll say he is a moderate...how else could he stand a chance? But seriously, O'Malley says that too. So does Obama. They're not.

10/14/08 1:09 pm

Paid Canvasses


All that shows is Harris lacks the money for paid canvasses. Both campaigns are taking every advantage they can and if that includes Kratovil paying canvassers so he can knock on every single one of those undecided voters so be it. I guarantee you his field operation will blow Harris out of the water come GOTV week.

10/14/08 10:31 am

Paid canvasses are standard


Paid canvasses are standard procedure at the federal level. The fact that Harris isn't doing them is what is worth looking at.

10/14/08 9:18 am

So how many hours did you


So how many hours did you sign up for?

10/14/08 8:52 am

Johnson - You might want to


Johnson -

You might want to check the Aegis for campaign desperation. Apparently, Mr. Kratovil is so desperate for help, that he has put an ad in the local paper offering to pay phone bankers $10/hr. As far as I know, Harris' operation is an all volunteer army. At least fact check before you spew your venom next time.

10/14/08 5:34 am

When the FEC info comes out


When the FEC info comes out next week we'll see that the Andy/Chrissy ragtime band paid for another poll, and this one confirmed the DCCC poll, so they didn't put the results out there. No sense scaring off the few Club for Growthers left that they haven't sucked dry (I know Andy's Republican and all, but I am speaking strictly financially here). When Andy cried to the RNCC for cash, they told him to take a flying leap.

The only desperation is in Andy's Bel Air HQ, where they have to beg for canvassers and phone banking folks. After mismanaging this campaign, Chrissy will be lucky if he can get a school board race in Ottumwa, IA next go around. And for this he gets $3k a month.

The tide has turned. Kratovil will get the lion's share of those 16%, Andy will go back to alienating everyone he can find in Annapolis and at Hopkins, and the 1st District will continue to be represented in Washington, DC by a man with integrity.

10/13/08 8:23 pm

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